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March Madness Conference Tournament Picks

Saturday, March 15th 2008 Premium Sports Picks

7* LOCK on Wisconsin -3.5 -110
All signs point to a Wisconsin blow out in this match up. Michigan State is 9-21 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Wisconsin is 9-1 ATS in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. If you think Wisconsin can't win against good teams, think again. The Badgers are 8-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams that are committing less than 14 turnovers per game this season and 9-2 ATS versus excellent teams that are shooting greater than 45% with a defense allowing less than 42% this season. Needless to say, Wisconsin makes a habit of taking it to another level when facing good competition. I see another Badgers Blowout today.

5* Best Bet on Indiana Pacers +10
Do not be surprised to see Indiana go into Orlando and leave with a win. That being said, its no surprise I believe this line is way too big. Giving a team like Indiana 10 points may not seem like much up front, but taking a closer took at the way these two teams match up and I believe we have a potential upset in the making. The Pacers aren't afraid to play on the road either, having a better ATS road record than they do at home. The Pacers are revenging a same season loss in this one, which tells me they will come into the game with a well laid out game plan. Take the 10 points but get ready for what should be an easy winner.

5* Best Bet on Minnesota T'Wolves +9.5 -110
This is another case of a road dog revenging a same season loss that is getting too many points. Portland is 1-13 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season. Minnesota is 18-7 ATS over the last two years in road games when playing with double revenge. Double revenge being 2 straight losses vs Portland this season. In this case it is best to play on the road team when they are good at rebounding allowing less than 11 offensive rebounds per game on the season, on Saturday games. I think it is a little less likely the T'Wolves will knock Portland off at home, but I do think this will play into a close one coming down to the final few minutes.

Overall it was a poor performance on the premium card. All three games missed the cover by a combined total of 4.5 points between three games. It could have easily been a 3-0 performance but we didn't catch a break all day.

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