Basketball and Baseball Picks for April 13-15 2008

4* Line Mover on Boston Red Sox -105 (April 15, 2008)
The Red Sox bring their knuckle ball specialist to the mound when they face off against the Cleveland Indians again tonight. BOSTON is 17-5 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team with a Win Pct. 38% to 46% over the last 2 seasons. There are a lot of trends pointing to this game going UNDER the total and they all involve Wakefield in one way or another. This leads me to believe his style of pitching will match up well against the Indians and he should be able to keep the earned runs off the board very easily. I expect to see a big blowout here by the Red Sox.

5*Best Bet on Seattle Mariners -140 (April 15, 2008)
BATISTA is 12-2 against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. SEATTLE is 31-12 against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. The only thing keeping Seattle from being favored by even more in this match up is the poor performance of the bullpen in comparison to Kansas City who has been throwing lights out. Tht is all about to change as we are getting deep enough into the season that things will start to average out. Seattle's bull pen couldn't ask for a better line up to imrpove their stats and that is exactly what they will do.

5* Best Bet on San Francisco Giants +110 (April 15, 2008)
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-3 against the money line vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. Their starting pitch today will be CORREIA, who is 19-9 against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997 and he is 10-1 against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.

4* Line Mover on Detroit Tigers -155 (April 14, 2008)
Detroit has looked pretty poor on the offensive side, but today is when they break the funk. Always play against a team like Minnesota after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR, and they have a starting a pitcher who gave up less than 2 earned runs in his last 2 outings. This system is 274-195 since 1997 and it proves that a pitcher can not continue to win without offense. On the flip side we have Detroit who's pitchers have been losing because of a lock of offense. They break the spell tonight and put up a BIG number in this game.

4* Line Mover on Pittsburgh Pirates +165 (April 14, 2008)
There is too much value in this line to pass this game over. Pittsburgh is looking just as good, or better than the Dodgers this season and the way Zach Duke matches up against the LA Batting Order, I have to believe he will go deep in the game. The Dodgers may have a better bull pen, but with Zach Duke possibly going 8 innings deep its not going to matter. The pirates are putting up almost 6 runs per game on the road this season and with a line this big it would be silly not to jump on all this value.

6* System Play on Golden State +5.5 -110 (April 14, 2008)
Always Play Against Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like PHOENIX when they are a good team that is outscoring their opponents by 3+ points per game against an opponent where both teams scored 100 points or more two straight games. This system is 92-59 ATS since 1996.

8* MAJOR on Orlando Magic -4 -110 (April 13, 2008)
Some of the key factors that favor Orlando in this match up are the following: Orlando is scoring 104 points per game on the road, Chicago's defense is allowing 100 points per game to be scored on them, and Chicago is 1-10 ATS off an upset win. The fact that the total on this game has increased almost two points leads me to believe the books also favor Orlando. If Chicago were to win this game or even keep it close they would have to stop The Magic from putting up the big numbers like they have all season. Expect the Magic to put up a big number in this one and have the number covered most of the game.

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