Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors Free Basketball Pick
Written January 23, 2009 by Nick Jones
Today’s free basketball pick comes on the highly anticipated match up between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors. Now at first glance this is a very lopsided match up, but if there was ever one place to play where you do not want to over look your opponent, it is Golden State. This could be an especially dangerous game for Cleveland as Monta Ellis makes his return for the Warriors.
The head to head history between these two teams is heavily in favor of the Cavaliers, however, in games played at Golden State there is a slight advantage to Golden State at 6-5 straight up and ATS. If it is possible for a team like Cleveland to be cold, then the fact that they are a mere 2-2 there last 4 outings is as chilling as ice. Golden State on the other hand has pulled off a nice 2-1 run the last three games and a 5-2 run their last 7 which means big trouble for Cleveland tonight.
Is it possible for Golden State to win this game straight up? Of course, this is after all the NBA where the worse team in the league can beat the best on any given day. Golden State is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a home underdog and 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team with a win percentage greater than 70% on the season. Are the match up power trends not enough to convince you that Golden State is a solid play? Well here is a situational system play that should. When making basketball picks it is best to always play against favorites like Cleveland after a win by 6 points or less, playing against opponent an opponent scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games. This system is 42-17 ATS over the last 5 seasons.
I can’t begin to imagine the thoughts running through your mind right now. “Is this guy nuts?” comes to mind. In order to bet successfully with basketball picks and more importantly free NBA picks, you have to be able to set aside that old school logic. In today’s league you can not look at a team and say, “Wow, they are really good and playing against a team with a crappy record, I bet they will cover that 6 point spread.” It simply does not work. You have to find the numbers, match them up, get all the angles and trends, then you can execute a well thought out basketball pick that is sure to stuff your pockets with loads of cash.
I would not go into this game expecting Golden State to win, although I feel it is very likely, but covering this six point number should not be an issue for a team that is RED HOT playing on their home court against a slumping Cavaliers team. The free pick today is a simple one. Take the Golden State Warriors plus the six points available through BetJamaica. Since this is the late game you can probably make back your losses on the day, or double your profits with what will prove to be a very easy cover for Golden State.
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