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2008 Basketball and Baseball Pick for April 20-22

5* Best Bet on Florida Marlins +110 (April 22, 2008)
Always play against home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 like Pittsburgh when that team is a below average NL hitting team (AVG less than .255) against a team with a good bullpen that has an ERA less than 3.75, in April games. This system is 35-20 over the last 5 seasons.

7* LOCK on Washington Wizars +1.5 -110 (April 21, 2008)
Always play on a road team like Washington when they are a good free throw shooting team making 76-79% against a poor free throw shooting team that makes only 69-72%, in a game involving two good ball handling team averaging less than 14.5 turn overs. This system is a strong 72-38 since 1996.

6* System Play on Cleveland Indians -110 (April 20, 2008)
Always play against home teams like Minnesota when the money line is +125 to -125 in a game involving two bad teams with a 38% to 46% win percentage, in April games. This system is 41-16 since 1997. Cleveland is 20-6 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's per start over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 11-20 against the money line in home games vs. good defensive catchers that are allowing 0.5 or less stolen bases per game over the last 2 seasons. The starting pitcher for Cleveland, BYRD, is 12-1 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

6* System Play on Colorado Rockies +110 (April 20,2008)
COLORADO is 15-5 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons and they are 16-8 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. With the ROckies bullpen giving up a 2.00 ERA I think the Rockies will have no problem closing out the upset win in Houston.

7* LOCK on Toronto Raptors +6.5 -110 (April 20, 2008)
This line smells like Tuna. Orlando is a strong team while Toronto is a mid-grade team playing on the road and we have a line that is a mere 6.5 points? Far to fishy for me to fall into the trap. The line is close enough to what would seem fair to make the public believe there is value but looking at how these teams match up I would not be surprised to see a game one upset in this series. Toronto is 17-7 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is 48-82 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams that are attempting less than 24 free throws per game in the 2nd half of the season since 1996. Orlando needs those points on the board when the clock is stopped and they will not get it today.

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